Eric Balchunas, a senior Bloomberg ETF analyst, has forecasted the launch of spot Ethereum ETFs by late June. This prediction follows BlackRockβs recent amendment to its Form S-1 filing for the iShares Ethereum Trust, submitted to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on May 29.
This update came nearly a week after the SEC approved BlackRockβs 19b-4 filing, both essential steps for the ETF to start trading. βGood sign. [Probably] see rest roll in soon,β Balchunas stated in a May 29 post.
Balchunas noted that there might be another round to βfine-tuneβ SEC comments, but he considers an βend of June launch [a] legit possibility.β However, he maintains his approval odds for around July 4, noting that an earlier approval would be a βlong shot.β
Good sign. Prob see rest roll in soon. Then prob one more round of fine-tune comments from Staff. End of June launch a legit possibility altho keeping my o/u date as July 4th
Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart echoed Balchunasβ sentiments, suggesting that BlackRockβs updated S-1 demonstrates significant engagement between issuers and the SEC, indicating progress toward spot Ethereum ETF launches.
BlackRockβs amended S-1 included details about its seed capital investor β the entity funding the ETFβs initial trading activities. On May 21, a BlackRock affiliate firm, acting as the seed capital investor, agreed to purchase $10,000,000 in shares, receiving 400,000 shares at a price of $25.00 per share, according to the filing. The ETF will list and trade under the ticker βETHA.β
On the same day, Hashdex withdrew its bid for a spot Ether ETF, despite its approval by the SEC alongside BlackRock and seven other issuers.
Unlike the US, Hong Kong is considering staking in spot Ethereum ETFs. Analysts predict that these ETFs will drive ETH to new highs, with some speculating that Wall Street will use them as a bet on web3βs growth.
βThe US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)βs green light for spot Ether ETFs is a watershed moment for the crypto industry. It builds on the success of Bitcoin ETFs, offering a secure and regulated way for investors to access Ether. This broader acceptance will fuel mainstream adoption and reflect a maturing regulatory environment, paving the way for further legitimizing the entire digital asset space,β Sumit Gupta, Co-founder of CoinDCX, mentioned in an earlier statement.
βBitcoin rose to over $73,000 from $42,000 in the two weeks after the ETF started trading on January 11β¦Similarly, it is anticipated that a spot Ether (ETH) ETF could drive an [Ethereum] rally of as much as 60%,β he added.
However, some analysts speculate that ETH could face price pressure as the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) might see $110 million of average daily outflows for weeks after it converts and its discount narrows.
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