Ethereum’s price has shown minimal movement despite the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approving spot Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for quicker launch in the United States. Before the SEC’s significant approval, Ether dropped by 3.4%, rebounding by approximately 5% shortly after. Currently, Ether is trading at $3,701, with a 24-hour trading volume of $47.5 billion.

SEC Approval and Market Impact

On May 23, the SEC approved 19b-4 applications from major financial institutions such as VanEck, BlackRock, Fidelity, Grayscale, Franklin Templeton, ARK 21Shares, Invesco Galaxy, and Bitwise. This approval allows these firms to list and trade spot Ether ETFs on their respective exchanges. Hashdex was the only ETF issuer that did not receive regulatory approval on the day.

However, ETF issuers must still secure the SEC’s approval for their S-1 registration statements before spot Ether ETFs can officially begin trading, which could take weeks or months.

“Typically, the SEC takes several weeks to a few months to review and provide feedback on S-1 registrations. This period involves a detailed examination of the filings to ensure compliance with regulatory requirements. So, in the worst case, we are looking to the end of summer,” said Georgii Verbitskii, founder of TYMIO.

The SEC’s directive on May 20 to expedite 19b-4 filings caught many by surprise, especially with the notable removal of staking from several applications. This has sparked speculation about the motivations behind the SEC’s swift action.

Political Influence and Industry Reactions

Some industry insiders suggest that political pressure played a role. A bipartisan group of lawmakers had previously urged the SEC to approve these ETFs, arguing that the precedent set by Bitcoin ETFs should extend to Ethereum.

The approval of Ethereum ETFs is seen by some industry experts as an indication that Ether is not considered a security.

“These are commodities-based trust shares, so the SEC, by approving these, is explicitly saying they’re not going to go after Ether as a security,” said Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart.

Digital asset lawyer Justin Browder concurs, asserting that if Ether ETFs get S-1 approval—the final hurdle for trading—then the “debate is over: ETH is not a security.”

Nonetheless, other market players like Verbitskii believe the SEC might still target ETH.

“The approval of an Ethereum ETF by the SEC does not mean they no longer see Ethereum as a security. It simply means the ETF meets regulatory standards for trading and investor protection (or at least they think so),” Verbitskii said.

Future Market Implications

The approval of spot Ether ETFs comes four and a half months after the SEC approved several spot Bitcoin ETF applications, marking an industry first. Following the latest announcement, industry experts have expressed their expectations for further growth.

Sumit Gupta, co-founder of CoinDCX, noted that Bitcoin’s price rose significantly after its ETF started trading, suggesting that a spot Ether ETF could drive a rally of up to 60%.

“Bitcoin rose to over $73,000 from $42,000 in the two weeks after the ETF started trading. Data suggests that 10 US spot Bitcoin ETFs absorbed 548,556 BTC worth $36 billion in four months. Similarly, it is anticipated that a spot Ether (ETH) ETF could drive a rally of as much as 60%,” Gupta said.

Lennix Lai, OKX’s chief commercial officer, highlighted the potential for substantial institutional demand for a spot Ethereum ETF, envisioning passive capital inflow from institutional players of around $300-500 million in the first week.

“In addition, Ethereum offers more utilities than many realize. It’s the go-to product for participating in DeFi products, such as staking. As such, the approval of the ETH ETF could potentially attract more users to engage with Web3 products,” Lai concluded.

However, some experts caution that the price of Ether might not immediately surge despite the landmark approval.

Asal Alizade, co-founder of Blocklogica, explained that the main market shift occurred with the approval of Bitcoin ETFs, which facilitated the entry of bigger cash flow from traditional investment institutions. Thus, the Ether ETF approval might not lead to a dramatic market change but could gradually influence EVM-based assets and create minor trends in the crypto market.

Benjamin Charbit, CEO of Darewise Entertainment, added that the ETF approval had likely been priced in for some time, similar to the Bitcoin ETF approval earlier in the year.

“I would not see it as a negative sign; on the contrary, it shows a form of maturity similar to what has happened for decades in traditional finance (TradFi),” said Charbit.

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