Polymarket is closely monitoring its top bettors to ensure compliance ahead of the U.S. presidential elections. As the leading betting platform in the crypto space, Polymarket has initiated a credential re-verification process for its high-rollers on its Polygon-based service.
Founded by Shayne Coplan, Polymarket is enforcing a geoblock on American users with enhanced know-your-customer (KYC) checks. Despite dominating over 95% of the on-chain betting market, the platform is not available to U.S. users due to regulatory constraints. Nonetheless, Polymarket has become almost synonymous with the U.S. presidential elections, having processed over $2.1 billion in bets on whether former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris will win the White House.
Latest Election Odds (% chance of winning)
π₯ Trump β’ 63.9% chance
π¦ Harris β’ 36.0% chance
Only 14 days until the election.
Source: Polymarket
As the U.S. election approaches, there’s much discussion surrounding prediction markets like Polymarket. Many speculate that the election results could either boost or slightly hinder cryptocurrency adoption, depending on the outcomes at the federal and state levels.
Understanding Prediction Markets
These platforms allow users to bet on potential outcomes by purchasing event shares, leveraging blockchain technology to execute trades and settle payouts for bettors. Betting data is often seen as a social sentiment indicator because it involves real money, suggesting that users back their convictions with actual cash and crypto. However, some question the authenticity of on-chain betting data and its relevance to real-world events like elections.
Growth of Prediction Markets
Despite the skepticism, prediction markets have seen substantial growth this year. According to a research report by 0xPPL, these markets ballooned over 560% in Q3 2024. This uptrend highlights the increasing interest and participation in blockchain-based betting platforms.
“Betting data is often seen as a social sentiment indicator because it involves real money, suggesting that users back their convictions with actual cash and crypto.”
For those new to cryptocurrency and prediction markets, it’s essential to understand the underlying technology and regulatory landscape. As these platforms grow, they offer unique insights into public sentiment and the potential for financial gain through informed betting.
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