MicroStrategy Stock Price Drops 27% Despite Bitcoin’s Record High
MicroStrategy’s stock price has experienced a significant decline of 27% from its highest level this year, despite Bitcoin reaching a record high. As of December 6, MSTR shares were trading at $390, continuing a decline that began on November 21, when the stock peaked at $541. Despite this pullback, MicroStrategy remains one of the best-performing stocks this year, with a remarkable increase of over 500% and a market cap exceeding $91 billion.
Reasons Behind the Decline
There are two possible reasons why the stock has retreated this month. Firstly, this decline can be attributed to profit-taking among investors who have benefited from its climb. Secondly, investors are likely concerned about its valuation, which stands at about $91 billion β a significant premium considering that MicroStrategy holds 402,100 Bitcoin coins valued at under $40 billion. This gap of approximately $50 billion cannot be filled by the company’s struggling original data analytics business.
As a result, some investors believe that the company’s valuation will ultimately drop to bring its valuation closer to its Bitcoin holdings. However, most Wall Street analysts are optimistic that the stock has more upside left, with an average estimate for the stock at $492, higher than the current $390.
Comparison with Other Bitcoin-Exposed Companies
MicroStrategy’s stock has also mirrored the performance of other Bitcoin-exposed companies. Marathon Digital, the second-largest Bitcoin holder, has declined 14% from its November peak, while Coinbase, Riot Platforms, and Hut 8 Mining have also experienced pullbacks. This trend suggests that the decline in MicroStrategy’s stock price may be part of a broader market correction.
What’s Next for MSTR Stock?
MicroStrategy’s stock has pulled back but remains above the ascending trendline connecting the lowest swings since November 11. It is also trading above the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, suggesting potential support for further gains. Additionally, the stock has bottomed at the strong pivot reverse point of the Murrey Math Lines tool.
Based on these technical indicators, the stock will likely bounce back if Bitcoin continues rising, as analysts expect. If this happens, the stock will likely continue rising as bulls target the all-time high of $540. A break above that level will point to more gains, potentially to the extreme overshoot level at $625.
However, a drop below the rising trendline could see the stock have a mean reversal and drop to the 100-day moving average at $240. This price coincides with the major S&R level of the Murrey Math Lines.
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