Bitcoin and most altcoins remained in a tight range as the crypto fear and greed index moved to the fear zone of 33 ahead of the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan decisions.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin has been stuck below $60,000 this week, while Ethereum was below $2,400. Other big coins like Solana, Tron, and Litecoin showed minimal movement this week.
Bitcoinβs consolidation occurred as MicroStrategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, added more coins to its balance sheet. The company now holds 244,800 coins worth over $14.1 billion. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of over $144 million in the first four days of the week.
Ethereum
Ethereum, on the other hand, remained under pressure as ETF outflows continued. Reports indicate that Vitalik Buterin and the Ethereum Foundation sold more coins. There are signs that more Ethereum whales are liquidating their tokens. For instance, Metalpha deposited 6,999 ETH ($16.4M) to Binance recently. Over the past six days, Metalpha has deposited a total of 62,588 ETH ($145.1M) to Binance and currently holds 23.5K ETH ($55M).
Federal Reserve and BoJ Decisions Ahead
Looking ahead, cryptocurrency prices could come under pressure next week as the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan meet.
The Fed is expected to cut interest rates following this weekβs encouraging U.S. inflation data and last weekβs mixed nonfarm payrolls report. The swap market is predicting a 0.50% interest rate cut at that meeting.
Economists expect that the BoJ will leave interest rates unchanged at 0.25%. However, the bank may catch the market by surprise by hiking interest rates again. In a recent statement, Kazuo Ueda, the bankβs governor, hinted that he may be ready to hike again if inflation remains high.
A Fed cut and a BoJ rate hike would reduce the spread between U.S. and Japanese yields, invalidating a carry trade that has existed for years.
In a carry trade, investors borrow from low-interest rate countries and invest in higher-interest rate ones. This likely explains why the Japanese yen rose to 140 against the U.S. dollar, a 13% increase from its lowest point this year.
The yen is another 0.9% stronger today, now trading at 140.5 per US dollar as markets expect a further move up in interest rate differential in favor of Japan. Interestingly, the last monthβs notable appreciation has been relatively βquiet.β
The impact of this unwind could affect the cryptocurrency industry, as seen in August. Bitcoin dropped to $49,000 while Ethereum fell to $2,100 during the crypto Black Monday.
Therefore, there is a likelihood that Bitcoin, altcoins, and stocks will experience some volatility as the Fed and BoJ make their decisions on Sept. 18 and Sept. 20, respectively.
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