Ripple Unlocks 500 Million XRP, Sending Mixed Signals to the Crypto Market

Ripple recently unlocked 500 million XRP tokens, valued at approximately $1.1 billion, stirring speculation across the cryptocurrency sector. The transfer, highlighted by blockchain monitoring services on May 2, initially raised concerns about a potential large-scale sell-off. However, on-chain data reveals that this transaction was part of Ripple’s routine monthly escrow unlocks, designed to manage token supply and reduce market volatility.

Ripple’s Escrow Mechanism: Controlling XRP Supply

Ripple’s escrow system allows up to 1 billion XRP to be released monthly. Typically, unused tokens are returned to escrow, ensuring a controlled supply and minimizing price fluctuations in the market. Out of the 1 billion XRP released during this cycle, Ripple immediately sent 500 million tokens to an internal wallet and re-locked them. Additionally, another 200 million XRPβ€”already held in Ripple’s operational walletβ€”was re-locked in separate transactions. These actions signal that Ripple is not planning a significant sell-off or market disruption in the near term.

XRP Price Analysis: Key Levels to Watch

At the time of writing, XRP is trading near $2.21, consolidating just below a critical resistance level at $2.30. Technical indicators suggest a short-term bullish structure, supported by the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $2.17 and the 50-day EMA at $2.20. However, market momentum remains weak, with the average directional index (ADX) at a low 12.7 and a neutral relative strength index (RSI) of 53.

While oscillators such as the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and Stochastic show neutral to slightly bullish signals, traders appear hesitant to make decisive moves amid flat trading volumes. If bulls can push the price above the $2.30 resistance level, XRP may target the $2.50 region. On the downside, failure to hold the $2.16 support level could trigger a decline toward $2.05 or even $2.00.

Broader Market Factors Impacting XRP

Beyond technical indicators, XRP faces broader market uncertainties. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) recently postponed its decision on the spot XRP ETF proposed by Franklin Templeton, pushing the deadline to mid-June. This delay adds uncertainty to XRP’s short- to mid-term outlook, as regulatory clarity remains a critical factor influencing investor sentiment.

Meanwhile, Ripple continues to expand its operations. Following the launch of its RLUSD stablecoin last year, Ripple reportedly made a $5 billion bid to acquire Circle, the issuer of USD Coin (USDC). While Circle declined the offer, Ripple’s move underscores its ambition to strengthen its presence in the stablecoin market.

What’s Next for XRP?

All eyes are currently on the $2.30 resistance level, which could act as a key turning point for XRP’s price movement. A successful breakout above this level may inject fresh bullish momentum into the market. Conversely, failure to break above $2.30 could lead to a short-term pullback, particularly if the $2.16 support level is breached.

For investors and traders, monitoring both technical indicators and broader market developments will be crucial in navigating XRP’s price trajectory in the coming weeks.