The recent slowdown in Bitcoin ETF selling isnβt driven by President Donald Trumpβs crypto reserve plan but rather shifting market dynamics.
Shifting Market Dynamics
Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds saw their largest outflows since launching in January 2024. For now, the selling pressure may be easing, though not necessarily due to President Donald Trumpβs statement on a strategic crypto reserve, but seemingly because hedge funds unwound basis trades, analysts suggest.
Analysts believe that hedge funds likely triggered the sell-off by unwinding basis trades, which aligns with the $8 billion drop in CME open interest since the December 2024 FOMC meeting, accounting for over 20% of total ETF inflows. This sentiment is echoed by:
βThe selling pressure may have been tied to the February futures expiry, which is now behind us. With this overhang removed, ETF selling by hedge funds could ease, allowing them to reevaluate arbitrage spreads heading into late March.β
Trump’s Crypto Reserve Plan
While itβs unclear how long the pause in selling pressure will last, Bitcoin and altcoins quickly surged after Trump reaffirmed his commitment to making the U.S. βthe Crypto Capital of the World.β His new executive order directs officials to establish a national crypto reserve, including:
- Bitcoin
- Ethereum
- XRP
- Solana
- Cardano
As Bitcoin rose 8%, breaking $93,000, Ethereum followed with an 11% jump. Yet, these gains were modest compared to Cardanoβs 66% surge, while Solana and XRP gained 20% and 28%, respectively.
Crypto Market Outlook
Despite the rally, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains in βFearβ territory at 33. This suggests that investors remain cautious, and the market is still vulnerable to fluctuations.
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