Arbitrum Token Shows Promise of a Bullish Breakout Amid Ecosystem Growth

The Arbitrum ecosystem has been experiencing significant growth, despite its token price dropping to $0.700, a 45% decline from its highest level in December last year. However, third-party data suggests that the Arbitrum ecosystem is thriving, with a 118% increase in the volume of tokens on the chain over the last seven days, reaching $10.15 billion.

Key Drivers of Ecosystem Growth

Uniswap was the most active player in the ecosystem, handling $6.2 billion in volume, followed by Camelot, Pancakeswap, and Maverick Protocol. Additionally, data from Nansen shows a 77% surge in active addresses in the network over the last 7 days, resulting in a 35% increase in transactions and a 182% rise in fees, exceeding $1 million.

Comparison to Base, the Leading Layer-2 Network

While Arbitrum still has a long way to catch up with Base, the largest layer-2 network in the crypto industry, its growth is promising. Base boasts over 5.6 million active addresses, over 50 million transactions, and a 13% increase in active fees to $3.7 million.

Technical Analysis: Potential for a Rebound

The daily chart shows that the ARB price peaked at $1.2420 in November last year and has since pulled back to $0.70. This level coincides with the highest swing in May last year and marks the upper side of the cup and handle pattern, a popular continuation sign. Furthermore, Arbitrum has formed a falling wedge pattern, which is made up of two falling and converging trendlines nearing their confluence levels, signaling a potential rebound.

Potential Price Movement

A rebound could push the Arbitrum price to $1.2470, the upper side of the cup and handle pattern, representing a 76% increase from the current level. Measuring the same distance from its upper side, the Arbitrum price could potentially reach $2.13. However, a break below the support at $0.4626 would invalidate the bullish view.

Tips for Investors

  • Keep a close eye on the Arbitrum ecosystem’s growth and its impact on the token price.
  • Monitor the cup and handle pattern and the falling wedge pattern for potential buy signals.
  • Be cautious of a break below the support at $0.4626, which could indicate a bearish trend.

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